赵琪

• 1:新疆维吾尔自治区水文水资源局

摘要(Abstract)：

研究干旱区水资源可持续利用变化对保障水资源、水资源和生态环境的可持续发展具有重要意义。为了全面了解和田地区水资源可持续利用的发展水平及其发展的主要障碍，本文从水资源系统压力、状态和响应能力三个方面构建了基于“PRS”模型的和田地区水资源可持续利用评价模型。基于TOPSIS算法和障碍度模型，揭示了水资源可持续利用的演化特征和障碍因素。结果表明：(1)2000—2020年，和田地区水资源可持续利用呈波动上升趋势，计算值主要在0.4～0.8之间；(2)从水资源系统压力、状态和响应的角度看，2000—2020年和田地区水资源状态、响应水平和压力水平呈波动上升趋势，其增加值分别为0.589、0.400和0.674。其中，水资源系统压力紧密度增加最多，约为2倍；(3)和田地区水资源的可持续利用主要受蒸发变化率和植被覆盖度的影响。总体而言，应调整产业结构，严格控制污水排放和水资源开发利用，提高水资源利用率和经济效益，从整体上提高水资源的可持续利用水平。

关键词(KeyWords)： 和田;水资源系统;韧性评价;TOPSIS算法;障碍度分析

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究“新疆科考区径流变化事实及原因分析”(2019QZKK0203-08)

作者(Author): 赵琪

DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2024.S2.050

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