基于数值模拟方法的溪洛渡水库蓄水后地震活动性突变原因分析Numerical simulation method-based study on causation of sudden change of seismicity after impoundment of Xiluodu Reservoir
邹旭明,钟菊芳,陈竹,胡祎石
摘要(Abstract):
溪洛渡水库自2013年5月开始蓄水并正式投入使用后,库区周边地区的地震活动性发生了较大的变化,且大量地震集中出现在位于库区周边10 km以内的务基镇、黄琅镇一带。为了研究库水水位变化对库区周边地区地震活动性的影响,采用数值模拟方法,对库水荷载产生的附加弹性应力场以及库仑应力变化量进行了计算。结果表明:(1)库水荷载产生的弹性附加应力对峨边—金阳断裂以及莲峰断裂影响较大,其附加正应力和剪应力均达到kPa量级;(2)库伦应力增量达到0.01 MPa量级的区域集中在云山村—田坝村一带,而务基镇周边地区的库仑应力变化量并未达到这一量级。经过分析认为,单纯的库水荷载产生的弹性附加应力不足以使水库影响区内的地震活动性发生如此大的变化,务基镇一带的背景应力可能在蓄水前就已经达到了临界状态,库水荷载在该处只起到了触发作用。
关键词(KeyWords): 水库地震;数值模拟;弹性响应;库仑应力变化量;地震成因
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(51969019,51468045);; 南昌航空大学研究生创新专项资金项目(YC2021-S699)
作者(Author): 邹旭明,钟菊芳,陈竹,胡祎石
DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2022.10.015
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