气孔构造岩石裂隙渗透特性及其渗流量预测方法Permeable characteristics of vesicular-structure rock fissure and its seepage flow prediction method
叶娟,涂树杰,刘晓明,鄢鹏宇
摘要(Abstract):
低雷诺数下岩石光滑裂隙渗流流量可用立方定律描述,而气孔构造岩石裂隙的渗透特性与之不同,需进一步研究。为此,首先开展了气孔构造裂隙渗透试验,获得了气孔构造单裂隙渗流流量与不同水力坡降、等效水力缝宽、气孔最大深度、气孔等效直径、气孔面积占比5个因素共382组试验数据;然后分别采用传统的回归分析和新出现的机器学习算法对试验数据进行分析,研究气孔构造岩石裂隙渗流量预测方法,通过回归分析,得到气孔构造裂隙渗流量预测公式;最后基于机器学习中的随机森林算法,建立了气孔构造岩石裂隙渗流流量预测模型,并分析了影响气孔构造岩石裂隙渗流量的各因素的重要性。结果表明:影响气孔构造岩石裂隙渗流流量的主要因素为水力坡降和等效水力缝宽,其他影响因素的重要性之和小于15%;回归所得流量预测公式形式简洁,抓住了主要影响因素,但其拟合优度不是很高(R~2=0.90),这是因为回归分析会忽略其中的次要影响因素;随机森林预测模型包含次要因素的影响,预测效果(R~2=0.97)显著优于回归预测公式,在预测复杂裂隙构造渗流量预测方面更有优势。
关键词(KeyWords): 气孔构造玄武岩;裂隙渗流;流量预测公式;随机森林(RF)算法
基金项目(Foundation): 国家重点研发计划(2019YFC1904700)
作者(Author): 叶娟,涂树杰,刘晓明,鄢鹏宇
DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2022.06.014
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