温天福,邹鉒,游进军,赵楠芳,马真臻,刘鑫

• 1:江西省水利科学院
• 2:水旱灾害防御江西省重点实验室
• 3:中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室

摘要(Abstract)：

【目的】2022年鄱阳湖流域遭遇罕见的夏秋连旱、汛期极枯的干旱事件,河流和水库水位持续降低,开展流域水库群供水联合调度可缓解水资源供需矛盾突出的问题。【方法】以赣江袁河流域为例,选取10个重点供水工程和30个关键供水对象,运用MIKE Basin构建了流域水库联合供水调度模型,提出水库联合供水调控措施并分析流域供水调度效果。【结果】针对2001、2007年和2022年等典型年份,袁河流域有山口岩灌区、袁河水厂、飞剑潭灌片、袁南灌区、袁惠渠灌区、濛河灌区等6个用水户存在缺水现象,缺水率范围为0.2%～28.9%;在采取调整山口岩、飞剑潭和江口水库供水限制水位,调整山口岩水库供水对象以及新增水库工程等3种调控措施后,主要用水对象缺水程度有明显改善,缺水率平均下降7.2%;在90%、95%和99%3种来水频率下,山口岩灌区、飞剑潭灌片及袁惠渠灌区缺水率平均下降7.41%、3.46%和2.28%。【结论】根据实际缺水情况提出的水库调控措施,有效改善了枯水期流域灌区等主要用水对象的缺水程度,可为流域应对极端干旱事件提供技术支撑。

关键词(KeyWords)： 极端干旱;供水调度;缺水率;MIKE Basin模型;袁河流域

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家重点研发计划(2023YFC3206002);; 江西省水利科技项目(202325ZDKT14);; 中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室开放研究基金(IWHR-SKL-202215)

作者(Author): 温天福,邹鉒,游进军,赵楠芳,马真臻,刘鑫

DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2026.01.003

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