典型台风暴雨情景下洪涝过程模拟分析Simulation and analysis of flood process under typical typhoon rainstorm scenarios
燕文昌,刘家宏,梅超,冯杰,杨志勇,付潇然,张东杰
摘要(Abstract):
2018年台风"温比亚"和2019年台风"利奇马"对我国东部沿海地区造成了广泛影响,给地处山东东北部渤海湾的东营市带来严重的暴雨洪涝灾害,两场台风期间降雨历时分别为22 h和43 h,全市平均降水分别为250.4 mm和342.2 mm,均超过东营市百年一遇暴雨级别,连续两年刷新当地多个雨量站历史极值。针对现有洪涝监测体系仅关注重点断面或区域、无法全面系统地反映洪涝过程,且两场台风暴雨在当地均为现象级、洪涝监测系统难以全程有效监测的问题,为了深入认识和分析台风暴雨极端情景下东营当地洪涝特性,选取SWMM构建东营市暴雨洪水模型,对两场台风暴雨期间的洪涝过程进行模拟再现。结果显示:两场台风暴雨模拟结果的径流演算连续性误差分别为1.076%和0.692%,流量演算连续性误差为-0.135%和-0.004%,模拟结果较合理。结果表明:两场台风暴雨产流量分别为5.7亿m~3和7.6亿m~3,重点河道断面水位涨幅在1.2~2.6 m之间,未发生溢流现象;中心城区典型易涝点分别有35处和38处产生积水,管网平均满管率为87.4%和97.5%。两场台风期间,河道水位处于安全状态,表明河道行洪调蓄能力较好;管网节点多处产生溢流积水、管道满管率较高,说明管网排水能力有限不足以应对高强度台风暴雨。为应对未来台风暴雨,应保持对河道的疏浚维护,进一步加强中心城区的防涝排涝能力。
关键词(KeyWords): 台风暴雨;洪涝模拟;SWMM;台风“温比亚”;台风“利奇马”;径流;洪水
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(51739011,51979285);; 流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室团队课题(SKL2020ZY03)
作者(Author): 燕文昌,刘家宏,梅超,冯杰,杨志勇,付潇然,张东杰
DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2021.10.002
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