我国典型水利水电工程安全监测仪器服役完好率分析Analysis of the service intact rates of safety monitoring instruments for typical water conservancy and hydropower projects in China
童广勤,耿峻,薛奕超,刘顶明,赵鹏,郑栋
摘要(Abstract):
【目的】水利水电工程安全监测领域尚未系统地开展监测仪器服役完好率分析。为深入分析我国水利水电工程安全监测仪器服役完好率特性,并为监测设计、仪器选型和更新维护等提供科学依据,【方法】收集了我国12个典型水利水电工程的安全监测仪器服役表现的大样本数据,通过统计分析、相关性分析与配对样本T检验方法,统计了各工程安全监测仪器的完好率,分析了整体完好率与服役时长间的相关性,检验了主要监测项目监测仪器完好率差异性,以及主要监测量差阻与弦式监测仪器完好率差异性。【结果】结果显示:仪器服役总年数与整体完好率之间的相关系数绝对值为0.65,主要监测项目监测仪器完好率之间的差异显著性水平为0.049,主要监测量差阻与弦式仪器完好率分别是78.87%与85.36%,主要监测量差阻与弦式仪器完好率之间的差异显著性水平为0.298。【结论】结果表明:水利水电工程安全监测仪器整体完好率与运行总年数呈中等程度的线性相关关系;主要监测项目监测仪器完好率表现存在差异,渗流渗压监测仪器完好率明显高于应力应变及温度监测仪器完好率;主要监测量差阻与弦式监测仪器完好率表现不存在显著差异,振弦式仪器完好率表现略高于差阻式仪器完好率。
关键词(KeyWords): 水利水电工程;安全监测仪器;仪器完好率;相关性和差异性;服役完好率;影响因素
基金项目(Foundation): 中国长江三峡集团有限公司科研项目(0704180);; 长江勘测规划设计研究有限责任公司科研项目(CX2020Z06);; 国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3005504)
作者(Author): 童广勤,耿峻,薛奕超,刘顶明,赵鹏,郑栋
DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2024.07.010
参考文献(References):
- [1] 张可,张政,金伟.数据-知识融合的水利工程建设安全风险灰色因子分解机预测模型[J].水利水电技术(中英文),2024,55(1):134-143.ZHANG Ke,ZHANG Zheng,JIN Wei.Data and knowledge-driven Grey Factorization Machine prediction model for safety risk in water conservancy engineering construction[J].Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering,2024,55(1):134-143.
- [2] 张春晋,孙西欢,李永业.龙抬头式泄洪洞安全监测指标分析[J].排灌机械工程学报,2022,40(11):1112-1119.ZHANG Chunjin,SUN Xihuan,LI Yongye.Analysis of safety monitoring indicators of dragon-head spillway tunnel[J].Journal of Drainage and Irrigation Machinery Engineering,2022,40(11):1112-1119.
- [3] 陈刚,张平俊.基于全寿命周期的大坝安全监测思考[J].中国水利,2019(6):62-64.CHEN Gang,ZHANG Pingjun.Observations on full life cycle monitoring of dam safety[J].China Water Resources,2019(6):62-64.
- [4] 沈省三,毛良明.大坝安全监测仪器技术发展现状与展望[J].大坝与安全,2015(5):68-72.SHEN Xingsan,MAO Liangming,Review and prospect of the development of dam safety monitoring instrument technology[J].Dam & Safety,2015(5):68-72.
- [5] 中国水利学会.2022中国水利学术大会论文集(第六分册)[C].北京:黄河水利出版社,2022.China Water Conservancy Academic Conference Collection.2022 China Water Conservancy Academic Conference Collection of Papers (Sixth Volume)[C].Beijing:The yellow river water conservancy press,2022.
- [6] 邓先科.浅谈长隧洞安全监测仪器安装埋设的监理经验[J].四川水力发电,2015,34(S2):63-66.DENG Xianke.Supervision experience of long tunnel safety monitoring instrument installation and burying[J].Sichuan Hydro Power,2015,34(S2):63-66.
- [7] 梁其翔.水工建筑物内部监测仪器埋设质量控制[J].科学技术创新,2019(19):128-129.LIANG Qixiang.Quality control of embedded monitoring instruments in hydraulic structures[J].Scientific and Technological Innovation,2019(19):128-129.
- [8] 李国祥,彭浩,张贺,等.钢筋计在钢筋混凝土结构应力监测中的应用[J].水利水电快报,2020,41(9):82-85.LI Guoxiang,PENG Hao,ZHANG He,et al.Application of steel bar meter in stress monitoring of reinforced concretestructures[J].Express Water Resources & Hydropower Information,2020,41(9):82-85.
- [9] 刘希臣.地下水电站热湿环境形成机理及节能调控策略[D].重庆:重庆大学,2019.LIU Xichen.The formation mechanism of thermal and humid environment and energy-saving control strategy of underground hydropower station[D].Chongqing:ChongqingUniversity,2019.
- [10] 周阳.影响电缆绝缘性能的因素研究及其对策[D].大连:大连理工大学,2016.ZHOU Yang.Research on the factors affecting the insulation performance of cable and its countermeasures[D].Dalian:Dalian University of Technology,2016.
- [11] 贾金生,李文超,湛正刚,等.水库大坝智慧化建设与高质量发展[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,2022.JIA Jinsheng,LI Wenchao,ZHAN Zhenggang,et al.Intelligent construction and high-quality development of reservoir dams[C].Beijing:China Architecture & Building Press,2022.
- [12] 罗琳,闫琳琳,李佼.南水北调中线沿线各省份配套工程建设运行管理的主要做法和思考[J].水利发展研究,2022,22(9):26-29.LUO Lin,YAN Linlin,LI Jiao.Main practices and reflections on the construction and operation management of supporting projects in various provinces along the middle route of the South to North Water Diversion Project[J].Water Resources Development Research,2022,22(9):26-29.
- [13] RUBERTIS K D.Monitoring Dam Performance [M].Virginia:Amer Society of Civil Engineers,2018.
- [14] 王建学,朱庭兴.大坝安全监测仪器完好率评价方法初探[J].甘肃水利水电技术,2016,52(4):20-22.WANG Jianxue,ZHU Tingxing.Preliminary study on evaluation method of intact rate of dam safety monitoring instrument[J].Gansu Water Resources and Hydropower Technology,2016,52(4):20-22.
- [15] 赵花城,沈省三.已埋钢弦式监测仪器工作状态评价[J].大坝与安全,2015,87(1):83-86.ZHAO Huacheng,SHENG Xingsan.Appraisal on performance of embedded vibrating-wire monitoring instrument[J].Dam & Safety,2015,87(1):83-86.
- [16] 陈菲,邓建辉,魏进兵,等.杆式多点位移计监测资料可靠性分析[J].地下空间与工程学报,2020,16(3):897-902.CHEN Fei,DENG Jianhui,WEI Jinbin,et al.Reliability analysis onthe monitored data by multi-point rod extensometers [J].Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering,2020,16(3):897-902.
- [17] 彭虹.大坝应力、应变监测的几个问题[J].水电自动化与大坝监测,2010,34(4):42-47.PENG Hong.Several questions of stress strain monitoring onconcrete dam [J].Hydropower and Pumped Storage,2010,34(4):42-47.
- [18] 郑程遥,邵春兵,黄定波.基于电价影响的水电站装机容量选择[J].水电能源科学,2020,38(12):165-168.ZHENG Chengyao,SHAO Chunbing,HUANG Dingbo.Selection of installed capacity of hydropower stations based on impact of generation price[J].Water Resources and Power,2020,38(12):165-168.
- [19] 武菲.三峡工程决策研究[D].北京:中共中央党校,2019.WU Fei,Research on the decision-making of the Three Gorges Project[D].Beijing:Party School of the CPC Central Committee,2019.
- [20] 中华人民共和国水利部.水利水电工程安全监测设计规范:SL 725—2016[S].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2016.Ministry of Water Resources,PRC.Code for safety monitoring and design of water conservancy and hydropower projects:SL 725—2016[S].Beijing:China Water Resources and Hydropower Press,2016.
- [21] 张应应.总体或样本的协方差(矩阵)和相关系数(矩阵)的系统定义[J].统计与决策,2016(8):20-24.ZHANG Yingying.Systematic definition of the covariance (matrix) and correlation coefficient (matrix) for the population or sample[J].Statistics & Decision,2016(8):20-24.
- [22] 刘辉,邵福波,宫响.经典相关系数及统计功效对比研究[J].青岛科技大学学报(自然科学版),2022,43(1):111-119.LIU Hui,SHAO Fubo,GONG Xiang.Comparison of classical correlation coefficients and statistical power[J].Journal of Qingdao University of Science and Technology(Natural Science Edition),2022,43(1):111-119.
- [23] WEISBERG S.Applied Linear Regression[M].Hoboken:Wiley,2005.
- [24] 梁永占.水工建筑物安全监测系统工程项目管理研究[D].天津:天津大学,2010.LIANG Yongzhan.Research on the project management of hydraulic structures safety monitoring system[D].Tianjing:Tianjin University,2010.
- [25] 皮海琪.大坝工程的安全监测控制管理[D].广州:华南理工大学,2011.PI Haiqi.Safety monitoring and control and management of dam projects[D].Guangzhou:Institutes of Technology of South China,2011.
- [26] 满红飞,黄锴,曾清波.三里坪水电站水工建筑物安全监测[J].人民长江,2012,43(S1):216-217.MAN Hongfei,HUANG Kai,ZENG Qingbo.Safety monitoring of hydraulic structures of Sanliping Hydropower Station[J].Yangtze River,2012,43(S1):216-217.
- [27] 贾飞,雷栋,付晓敏.大坝变形监测资料分析研究:以蜀河水电站为例[J].人民长江,2020,51(S2):334-336.JIA Fei,LEI Dong,FU Xiaomin.Analysis on dam deformation monitoring data:Case of Shuhe Hydropower Station[J].Yangtze River,2020,51(S2):334-336.
- [28] 张勇.向家坝水电站蓄水安全监测评价[J].人民长江,2015,46(2):111-114.ZHANG Yong.Safety monitoring and evaluation of impoundment of Xiangjiaba Hydropower Station[J].Yangtze River,2015,46(2):111-114.
- [29] 丁林,段国学,徐昆振.水布垭面板堆石坝面板变形及应力应变监测成果分析[J].水电与抽水蓄能,2019,5(6):50-57.DING Lin,DUAN Guoxue,XU Kunzhen.Analysis on monitoring results of deformation,stress and strain of the face slab of Shuibuya CFRD[J].Hydropower and Pumped Storage,2019,5(6):50-57.
- [30] BOX J F.Guinness,Gosset,Fisher,and Small Samples[J].Statistical Science.1987,2(1):45-52.
- [31] SHAPIRO S S,WILK M B.An analysis of variance test for normality(complete samples)[J].Biometrika,1965,52:591-611.
- [32] 赵花城,王为胜.已埋差动电阻式监测仪器工作状态评价[J].大坝与安全,2015,87(1):77-82.ZHAO Huacheng,WANG Weisheng.Appraisal on performance of embedded differential resistance instrument[J].Dam & Safety,2015,87(1):77-82.
- [33] 郑贵林,靳斯佳.基于振弦式传感器的大坝变形检测系统及应用[J].水电能源科学,2013,31(5):67-69.ZHENG Guilin,JIN Sijia.Detection system of dam deformation based on vibration wire sensor and its application[J].Water Resources and Power,2013,31(5):67-69.
- [34] 水电水利规划设计总院.水工设计手册(第2版)第11卷:水工安全监测[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2011.Hydropower Planning and Design General Institute.Hydraulic Design Manual (Version 2) Volume 11:Hydraulic Safety Monitoring[M].Beijing:China Water Resources and Hydropower Press,2011.
- [35] 张文胜,马能武,汤国强.关于差动电阻式仪器测温的几点探讨[J].人民长江,2010,41(20):72-74.ZHANG Wensheng,MA Nengwu,TANG Guoqiang.Discussions on temperature measurement by differential resistance instruments[J].Yangtze River,2010,41(20):72-74.