基于GA-BP神经网络对不可避免漏失水量的确定GA-BP neural network-based determination of unavoidable annual real losses from water supply pipeline network
王俊岭,胡颖梦,张昕喆,吴宾
摘要(Abstract):
为了分析管网漏损影响要素和供水管网不可避免漏失水量之间存在的复杂联系及对应关系,建立适用于我国不可避免漏失水量的确定方法。通过采集、筛选实际管网的漏损统计数据,对独立计量区域(DMA)展开夜间最小流量分析,并分析研究区域内管网的影响因素,将管龄、管材、用户数量及管网压力设定为相关影响参数。在此基础上,分别建立BP神经网络模型以及经过遗传算法优化后的BP神经网络模型(GA-BP神经网络),并对优化前后二者神经网络模型拟合结果对比分析。最终将优化后的模型应用于不同DMA进行漏损分析。结果显示,优化后的BP神经网络不仅训练效率更高,且误差平均降低了3.02%。将该模型应用于实际管网三个不同DMA时,可以发现DMA内均存在可控漏损水量,以经济可行为前提,分别可节约水量10 512 m~3/a、12 702 m~3/a、37 580.4 m~3/a。研究成果可为DMA漏损控制提供参考。
关键词(KeyWords): BP神经网络;遗传算法;可行性评估;不可避免漏失;线性回归分析;人工智能算法;DMA;影响因素
基金项目(Foundation): 国家水体污染与治理科技重大专项课题(2017ZX07501-002-05)
作者(Author): 王俊岭,胡颖梦,张昕喆,吴宾
DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2021.12.020
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